{"id":6061,"date":"2025-11-14T15:24:29","date_gmt":"2025-11-14T15:24:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ixfi.com\/blog\/?p=6061"},"modified":"2025-11-14T15:24:29","modified_gmt":"2025-11-14T15:24:29","slug":"weekly-research-key-unlocks-etf-flows-and-on-chain-action","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ixfi.com\/blog\/general\/weekly-research-key-unlocks-etf-flows-and-on-chain-action\/","title":{"rendered":"Weekly research: Key unlocks, ETF flows, and on-chain action"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"bsf_rt_marker\"><\/div>\n<p>It\u2019s been some volatile 48 hours. The market\u2019s recent sideways consolidation came to an abrupt end with a sharp, aggressive sell-off in the last 24 hours.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ixfi.com\/trade\/BTC\/USDC\">Bitcoin<\/a> led the move, falling from a high of around $103,100 to test support near $95,000: a drop of nearly $8,000, or approximately -8.0%. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ixfi.com\/trade\/ETH\/USDC\">Ethereum<\/a> was hit even harder on a percentage basis, plunging over 12% from its 24-hour high of $3,510 to trade around the $3,100 level.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>When prices move this fast, it\u2019s crucial to look past the noise and see what the on-chain data is telling us. For this weekly update, we\u2019re digging into four key metrics: ETF flows, on-chain growth, network fees, and a big week for token unlocks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>ETF flows: Reading the reaction<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>After a sharp drop, the first place we look for institutional sentiment is the spot ETF market. Did they <em>panic-sell<\/em>, or did they see this as a buying opportunity?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"390\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ixfi.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/ETF-Inflows-DeFi-Llama-1024x390.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-6062\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ixfi.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/ETF-Inflows-DeFi-Llama-1024x390.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/www.ixfi.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/ETF-Inflows-DeFi-Llama-300x114.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/www.ixfi.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/ETF-Inflows-DeFi-Llama-768x293.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/www.ixfi.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/ETF-Inflows-DeFi-Llama-24x9.jpeg 24w, https:\/\/www.ixfi.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/ETF-Inflows-DeFi-Llama-36x14.jpeg 36w, https:\/\/www.ixfi.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/ETF-Inflows-DeFi-Llama-48x18.jpeg 48w, https:\/\/www.ixfi.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/ETF-Inflows-DeFi-Llama.jpeg 1280w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The data from this week shows a decisive move to de-risk. As the chart shows, November 13th was a day of significant withdrawals, with Bitcoin spot ETFs seeing a massive net outflow of $866.7 million, and Ethereum-based ETFs seeing $259.6 million exit the funds.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>What this tells us is that there was no <em>wait-and-see<\/em> this time. This was a clear institutional sell-off, suggesting that for now, large players are prioritizing capital preservation over buying the dip.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>TVL growth: Where did the capital go?<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>In a week defined by a sharp, market-wide sell-off, did any ecosystem manage to hold its ground? When we look at the total value locked (TVL) growth over the last 7 days (for chains with over $50M in TVL), the picture is bleak, but with a few interesting exceptions.<br><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-gallery has-nested-images columns-default is-cropped wp-block-gallery-1 is-layout-flex wp-block-gallery-is-layout-flex\">\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"703\" data-id=\"6063\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ixfi.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/TVL-DeFi-Llama-1024x703.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-6063\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ixfi.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/TVL-DeFi-Llama-1024x703.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/www.ixfi.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/TVL-DeFi-Llama-300x206.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/www.ixfi.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/TVL-DeFi-Llama-768x527.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/www.ixfi.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/TVL-DeFi-Llama-24x16.jpeg 24w, https:\/\/www.ixfi.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/TVL-DeFi-Llama-36x25.jpeg 36w, https:\/\/www.ixfi.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/TVL-DeFi-Llama-48x33.jpeg 48w, https:\/\/www.ixfi.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/TVL-DeFi-Llama.jpeg 1280w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As the chart clearly shows, the sell-off was felt everywhere. The top 10 protocols by TVL are almost all in the red over the last 7 days.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Big names like <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ixfi.com\/trade\/LDO\/USDC\">Lido<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ixfi.com\/trade\/EIGEN\/USDC\">EigenLayer<\/a> saw 7-day outflows, showing that even the market leaders aren&#8217;t immune to a risk-off move.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The interesting exception here is <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ixfi.com\/trade\/AAVE\/USDC\">Aave<\/a>, which, despite the market drop, managed to post a 7-day TVL gain of nearly 7%. This suggests that during volatility, some capital may move into established blue-chip lending protocols, possibly seeking stability or to take advantage of borrowing dynamics, rather than exiting the ecosystem completely.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Where\u2019s the activity? Following the fees<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>If you want to know what users actually value during a sell-off, follow the fees. High fees mean high demand for a service, and this week\u2019s data tells a clear story.<br><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-gallery has-nested-images columns-default is-cropped wp-block-gallery-2 is-layout-flex wp-block-gallery-is-layout-flex\">\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"653\" data-id=\"6064\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ixfi.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/Fees-DeFi-Llama-1024x653.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-6064\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ixfi.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/Fees-DeFi-Llama-1024x653.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/www.ixfi.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/Fees-DeFi-Llama-300x191.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/www.ixfi.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/Fees-DeFi-Llama-768x490.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/www.ixfi.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/Fees-DeFi-Llama-24x15.jpeg 24w, https:\/\/www.ixfi.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/Fees-DeFi-Llama-36x23.jpeg 36w, https:\/\/www.ixfi.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/Fees-DeFi-Llama-48x31.jpeg 48w, https:\/\/www.ixfi.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/Fees-DeFi-Llama.jpeg 1280w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Unsurprisingly, the data is dominated by stablecoins. Tether ($163.68m) and Circle ($55.22m) generated the most fees. This makes sense: in a market panic, capital floods to safety, and every transfer or swap into stablecoins costs money.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But the more interesting story is what comes next. The highest-earning activity protocols were derivatives platforms, including <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ixfi.com\/trade\/ASTER\/USDC\">Aster<\/a> ($2.65 m) and DEXs like <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ixfi.com\/trade\/UNI\/USDC\">Uniswap<\/a> ($21.02 m). This shows that traders weren&#8217;t just running for the exits; they were actively repositioning, managing leverage, and swapping assets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We also see lending protocols like <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ixfi.com\/trade\/AAVE\/USDC\">Aave<\/a> ($18.33m) high on the list, likely driven by a spike in liquidations and users borrowing stablecoins against their volatile collateral. The fees show a market in full motion.<br><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>On the horizon: Major token unlocks<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Finally, we look at supply-side events. Next week is a big one for token unlocks, and we&#8217;re watching three projects in particular from the list, all of which are tradable on the IXFI spot market.<br><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"642\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ixfi.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/Unlocks-DeFi-Llama-1024x642.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-6065\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ixfi.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/Unlocks-DeFi-Llama-1024x642.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/www.ixfi.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/Unlocks-DeFi-Llama-300x188.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/www.ixfi.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/Unlocks-DeFi-Llama-768x482.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/www.ixfi.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/Unlocks-DeFi-Llama-24x15.jpeg 24w, https:\/\/www.ixfi.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/Unlocks-DeFi-Llama-36x23.jpeg 36w, https:\/\/www.ixfi.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/Unlocks-DeFi-Llama-48x30.jpeg 48w, https:\/\/www.ixfi.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/Unlocks-DeFi-Llama.jpeg 1280w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It&#8217;s important to know that <em>unlocks<\/em> don&#8217;t automatically mean a price drop, and the chart gives us great insight into this.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Celestia (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ixfi.com\/trade\/TIA\/USDC\">TIA<\/a>): Despite recent unlocks, TIA shows an +11.79% performance in the 7 days post-unlock, suggesting demand is currently absorbing the new supply.<br><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Arbitrum (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ixfi.com\/trade\/ARB\/USDC\">ARB<\/a>) &amp; ApeCoin (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ixfi.com\/trade\/APE\/USDC\">APE<\/a>): On the other hand, both ARB and APE are showing negative 7-day performance (around -9.36% and -6.94% respectively), indicating the new supply is adding pressure in a weak market.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><br>Given the current market fragility, it will be crucial to see how the market absorbs the next scheduled unlocks for these assets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Conclusion<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>This week was a reminder of how quickly sentiment can shift, defined by a sharp, institutional-led sell-off.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But the data shows a story more complex than just <em>panic<\/em>. While capital exited ETFs, it was also highly active, flooding into stablecoins and being used on DEXs and lending protocols. We saw a flight to quality, with established protocols like AAVE holding their TVL better than others.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The market is now in a fragile position: reset by the sell-off, but facing significant new supply from the upcoming <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ixfi.com\/trade\/ARB\/USDC\">ARB<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ixfi.com\/trade\/TIA\/USDC\">TIA<\/a>, and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ixfi.com\/trade\/APE\/USDC\">APE<\/a> unlocks. How the market absorbs this new liquidity will likely set the tone for the week ahead.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>It\u2019s been some volatile 48 hours. The market\u2019s recent sideways consolidation came to an abrupt end with a sharp, aggressive sell-off in the last 24 hours. Bitcoin led the move, falling from a high of around $103,100 to test support near $95,000: a drop of nearly $8,000, or approximately -8.0%. Ethereum was hit even harder [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":6083,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"rank_math_lock_modified_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[128,13,161],"tags":[476,139,503,173,506,134,162,643,366,437],"class_list":["post-6061","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-announcement","category-general","category-headlines","tag-aave","tag-announcement","tag-ape","tag-arb","tag-btc","tag-eth","tag-headlines","tag-lido","tag-tia","tag-uni"],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/www.ixfi.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/Weekly-research.png","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ixfi.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6061","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ixfi.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ixfi.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ixfi.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/6"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ixfi.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6061"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/www.ixfi.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6061\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6069,"href":"https:\/\/www.ixfi.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6061\/revisions\/6069"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ixfi.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/6083"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ixfi.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6061"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ixfi.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6061"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ixfi.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6061"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}